Predict.pm News

What matters in prediction markets right now.

Updated 37m ago

Wall Street Journal: Prediction markets had their biggest week ever

Polymarket and Kalshi volumes surged as mainstream traders piled into event contracts.

Discussion:@NateSilver538·WSJ
Platform1d

Polymarket launches native order book for high-volume markets

Today we are rolling out a native central limit order book to improve liquidity on our most active prediction markets.

Media1d

The Block: UMA optimistic oracle ruling finalizes contested Polymarket election outcome

After a challenge window, the UMA optimistic oracle resolved a disputed election market on Polymarket, ending the dispute over the contested outcome.

Platform1d

Kalshi adds same-day economic data contracts

New event contracts settle the same day on CPI and jobs releases.

Discussion:@Kalshi·Kalshi
Regulatory1d

CFTC issues guidance on event contracts and prediction market oversight

The Commission today issued interpretive guidance clarifying how prediction market platforms offering event contracts should register.

Discussion:@regwonk·CFTC
Platform2d

Election markets see record participation ahead of midterms

Traders poured into our election event contracts this week, setting a new participation high.

Discussion:Polymarket
Platform2d

Manifold ships mana-to-cash redemption update

Our latest update changes how mana converts, with implications for play-money prediction markets.

Discussion:Manifold